Yearly Archives: 2020

Divergence

The stock market is not the economy The global economy is not doing well so far this year. Pacific Investment Management Co (PIMCO) believes the “forced closure of businesses across the United States and surge in unemployment will cause U.S. growth to contract by 30% in the second quarter of 2020.” The U.S. unemployment rate rose to a… Read More »

Fiscal Update May 2020 | Oil’s well that ends well

Energy sector bounces back The human brain can often exaggerate negative emotions in the midst of uncertainty. It’s why otherwise calm drivers are susceptible to road rage behavior. Similarly, a stock market crash can cause investors to fixate on the bad news, lose perspective, and extrapolate recent trends into a dreadful future. Here’s a business headline from mid… Read More »

How I obtained a negative interest rate mortgage

Why inflation matters U.S. government bonds in 1990 were paying investors 8% a year. That sounds amazing! Especially for a low risk investment. 🙂 But not everyone was buying them. Why? Because investment returns don’t tell the whole story. The inflation rate that year was 5.4%. That means the real rate of return on those bonds was only… Read More »