Category Archives: Economics

The State of the Economy – 2020 and Beyond

Past and future predictions Last year I predicted rough waters for 2020’s economy, and suggested 4 investments to protect against uncertainty. How did those suggestions work out so far? National real estate prices are +7% from last year. Year to date my silver stocks (WPM.TO) is +79%. Major telco stocks are down by about -3%. XCB.TO, an ETF… Read More »

Divergence

The stock market is not the economy The global economy is not doing well so far this year. Pacific Investment Management Co (PIMCO) believes the “forced closure of businesses across the United States and surge in unemployment will cause U.S. growth to contract by 30% in the second quarter of 2020.” The U.S. unemployment rate rose to a… Read More »

How I obtained a negative interest rate mortgage

Why inflation matters U.S. government bonds in 1990 were paying investors 8% a year. That sounds amazing! Especially for a low risk investment. 🙂 But not everyone was buying them. Why? Because investment returns don’t tell the whole story. The inflation rate that year was 5.4%. That means the real rate of return on those bonds was only… Read More »