Feb 062015
 

How Money is Created

For a country’s GDP to grow there needs to be economic expansion, which means people must earn and spend more money. But in order for additional money to exist somebody has to create it first. That’s where you and I come in. 🙂 Money is created whenever we borrow money from a bank. When we take out a $1,000 loan, for example, $1,000 of bank credit is instantly created which we can cash out and spend, which adds $1,000 into the existing currency supply in the economy. This $1,000 did not exist in the world yesterday, but it does now because we created the money by borrowing it into existence. This increases the country’s nominal economic output. Nice. 🙂  Most of the world’s money today is created this way. Even though we are now $1,000 in debt, the nation overall is better off because our extra spending just becomes income for other people.

15-02-paying-debt-not-today-got-monetary-policies

The opposite phenomenon can also happen. If we pay off our $1,000 loan then that money would cease to circulate in the economy and be destroyed forever through debt cancellation. This is deflationary and is what every Central Banker in the world wants to avoid. 😕

Continue reading »

Jan 232015
 

Today’s post is about something of interest to a lot of people. 😀 Earlier this week the Bank of Canada surprised just about everyone with an interest rate cut from 1.00% to 0.75%. The Canadian dollar dropped to the lowest it’s been in years. Over 20 economists were surveyed prior to the Bank’s bomb shell reveal and not a single one of them expected the news, lol. Maybe economists are just there to make weather forecasters look good. 😛

Even our country’s most prolific real estate blogger, Garth Turner, was taken by surprise. Just last week a commentator on his site named BlackDog pointed to a report which predicted this week’s interest rate cut, and Mr. Turner promptly replied to dismiss the report. Not even a best-selling Canadian author of 14 books on economic trends saw this announcement coming. It just goes to show how difficult it is to read the minds of central bankers. 😕

15-01-bank-of-canada-rate-cut

The Rate Cut is good for:

  • Debtors who have variable rate mortgages, lines of credits, car loans, student loans, or other types of floating rate debts. Every $100,000 of debt one has will translate to about $20 a month of LESS interest one has to pay. 🙂
  • Investors in the stock market. Lower cost of borrowing is a type of monetary stimulus that has the same effect of printing money. The U.S. stock market has gained 100% over the last 6 years since it began it’s Q.E. programs.
  • Existing bond holders. Lower coupons on new bonds mean existing bonds are worth more.
  • Industries like manufacturing, exports, hospitality, tourism, companies with primarily $USD revenue, or any other businesses that benefits from a lower Canadian Loonie.
  • People who have debt in general. Lowering interest rates is inflationary which diminishes the value of one’s debt.
  • Home owners. Rate cuts drive real estate prices higher.

The Rate Cut is bad for:

  • Savers. High interest savings accounts are looking less attractive with the threat of inflation.
  • Consumers. Canadians import a lot of food and staple items from the U.S., which will cost more for us with a lower $CAD.
  • Cross border shoppers. Trips to the U.S. will become more expensive.
  • People living on a fixed income, like pensioners.
  • Retailers who’s suppliers are from outside of Canada

Thank you Stephen Poloz for this rate cut. 🙂 I appreciate your continuing support to prop up the already inflated housing market in Vancouver and increasing my home’s value. You’ve successfully penalized all the savers and risk adverse members of the investing community by lowering the returns on their GICs and term deposits. You have instead rewarded the speculators and heavily leveraged investors, such as myself, by leaving more money in our pockets, 😀 and encouraging even more borrowing activity! 🙂 Hurray for cheaper financing and more incentive to use debt because that’s exactly what Canadians need more of right now. I applaud your push for higher inflation with this rate cut. The 2% CPI in 2014 just wasn’t high enough. I’m sure making it even more expensive to live in this country is exactly what consumers want, especially when more people are out of work now than a month ago. 😛

Continue reading »

Oct 252013
 

Thanks a Latte

For all of next week there will be free coffee being served at participating McDonald’s restaurants in Canada. You can see their Facebook page for more detail 🙂 If you want to exploit other people’s caffeine addictions like I have, then consider investing in profitable coffee companies 🙂

13-10-mcdcoffee

I bought shares of Starbucks and Tim Hortons earlier this year. On average these 2 companies have so far produced over 30% return on investment since I blogged about buying them in January. I hope some of you guys were also able to take advantage of that opportunity. I predict their prices will rise even higher going into 2014!

Growth Downgraded 

A couple days ago the Bank of Canada pointed out that the country’s economy is growing slower than previously thought. It’s even considering to lower the interest rate. This changes everything for businesses. For the past couple of years, we’ve believed that rates could only go up. But now we realize that they could just as easily go down in the future. This is excellent news for investors like myself 🙂

How can we benefit from this news?

  • First. Realize that this means borrowing to invest is now less risky than before because we know with relative certainly the cost of short term lending won’t be going up any time soon (exception being in the fixed rate mortgage market.) So personally I’m going to use more of other people’s money to hopefully accelerate my own profits.
  • Second, buy US assets. After the Bank of Canada announced this news my net worth increased by $400 immediately 😀 Why? Because I have $40,000 USD in American stocks, and the news brought the Canadian Loonie down by a whole 1% compared to the U.S. dollar. I have a feeling the $CAD will fall even more over the next 12 to 18 months. Since I calculate my net worth in $CAD, for every 0.25% weaker our currency becomes I’ll get an extra $100 for free 😀

The Panes of Building a Home

A young couple, both artists like myself in their 20s, had quit their jobs to build a home in the woods in West Virginia. They scavenged abandoned yard sites for building material and spent as little money as possible. Slowly but surely they built their dream home for only $500.13-10-glasshouse

They also claim their diet contains a lot of rice and beans, which is understandable since they purposefully quit working! But hey, good for them. I admire their creative passion and how they did something meaningful with their lives 🙂 This is a great example of frugality taken to the extreme! But it’s not something I’d want to do myself.

Continue reading »