May 262013
 

According to a new study by the CGA Association of Canada, 1/3rd of Canadians are living paycheck to paycheck :(  The consensus was that the people surveyed believed their incomes were not “keeping pace with the cost of living.”  Sigh (-_-;) If only they understood how to hedge their expenses against inflation protected investments like consumer staples that have a history of growing dividends faster than CPI such as Coke, McDonald’s, Johnson & Johnson etc, or real estate assets like commercial or agricultural land, then they would probably be in a better financial situation today.

13_05_savings_coins, abbysmal savings in Canada

The report discovered that only 3 out of 10 households believed accumulating wealth is a very important priority. Just like almost anything else in life, you get what you put in. I believe if you focus on your own personal finance and make economic prosperity a personal goal then chances are pretty good you WILL save and build wealth ;)  I bet if 10 out of 10 Canadians viewed being rich as a priority we would have less poverty and a higher savings rate overall. Since almost a 3rd of our population never or almost never have any money left after paying the bills it would be very difficult for the Bank of Canada to increase interest rates, which means if you have debt like I do then we won’t see our financing costs go up in the near future :D  Leveraging cheap money hasn’t failed me yet in the past so I will continue doing so for now rather than pay off my debts :) I’m currently borrowing to invest in more farmland. Globally this asset class is growing very fast, even in the UK.

13_05_england_wales_farmlandchart, abbysmal savings in Canada

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Personal News

I recently sold $5K in my TFSA to add to my farm fund. Will have to update the numbers later. I also got a letter in the mail last week from my credit card company giving me a 1.9% interest rate for 6 months on any loan transfer :D I plan to get another $5K out of that deal. Also I created a new page about investing on my blog relatively recently.

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Random Useless Fact: Karma can be cruel.

13_05_lolyoloaccidentm, abbysmal savings in Canada

May 142013
 

To become rich we should try to maximize our earnings and minimize our expenses. Here are two simple ways to do it by adapting.

13_05_comtower adaptFirst, on the earnings side, we can take advantage of unfair market forces to increase our investment potential. For example Canada’s telecommunication sector is an oligopoly with over 90% of the wireless market owned by just 3 companies, and they have quite a lot of political influence. According to J.D. Power and Associates, Canadians are spending 13% more on their cell phone bills now than last year. But that’s okay. Less competition and higher prices for consumers also mean higher profits for those wireless companies :D Over the years I have learned about the anti-competitive wireless landscape in Canada and have slowly bought stocks in all 3 major tel-cos, Bell (BCE), Telus (T), and Rogers (RCI.B) All 3 stocks have outperformed the S&P/TSX Composite for the last 1 year, 5 year, and 10 year periods :) Even if I don’t like to invest in tele-com businesses in general like Vodaphone or Verizon from other countries, I would still make it a priority as a Canadian to have some exposure in Canadian tele-com stocks because they are given a competitive advantage in this country. Non Canadian investors however may not receive the same preferential tax treatment on dividends and capital gains from these companies so you should adapt your investment strategy based on where YOU live.

And second, on the spending side we can save money by adapting our shopping habits to where we live. For example I enjoy both dairy products and seafood. Relatively speaking Canada has expensive cheese, and other dairy goods, but we have pretty affordable seafood (especially near the coasts.) So whenever I want to treat myself to something fancy I usually favor seafood over dairy. In Canada, eggs, chicken and dairy aren’t sold like most goods. Competition is kept out. Tariffs on imports can be more than 200%. A $10 French cheese will be hit with a $24.50 duty for example. Exports are restricted because they’re subsidized. Again this means higher prices for consumers. I still eat cheese occasionally but it’s not a big part of my diet because I can find better value from other products. On the other hand, I do eat a lot of summer produce from the Okanagan Valley, spot prawns, sushi, and other locally sourced foods that are cheap and delicious :D  13_05_superstoreflyer

If I lived in the US I would probably eat more cheese, but would consume less maple syrup. If I lived in France, a larger part of my diet would probably be wine because of how cheap and plentiful it is there. By adapting our shopping tendencies to our surroundings we can choose what we want and still maintain our standard of living without spending more than we have to :D

Financial acumen requires the ability to adapt to change :D Every country will be different. By using the investment opportunities that are specific to a jurisdiction, and by being mindful of what we buy relative to our surroundings, we could greatly enhance the returns on our investments while being cleverly frugal at the same time, creating more savings for our pockets, hurray! (^_^)

Apr 172013
 

Earlier this week Farm Credit Canada, the leading agriculture lender, released their farmland prices report for spring of 2013. FCC appraisers estimate market value using recent comparable sales. These sales must be arm’s-length transactions. Here’s a summary of the report. During the second half of 2012 Quebec experienced the highest average increase at 19.4%. Saskatchewan, where my farm is located, experienced a 9.7% increase. Remember folks these are not annualized appreciation. The changes were only during the span of 6 months ending December 2012.

13_04_fccreport, farmland prices in 2013

Last year I wrote about my experience buying a farm near Regina, SK and included all the details like working with a tenant, the rental rate, the financing process, etc.  Near the end of that long post I wondered if my new farm would be a good investment or not. Well now we can find out :D With this FCC report I can finally adjust the price of my farm to reflect its more current value by taking the average of the FCC report and the inflation rate. This valuation method is designed to keep my net worth less volatile, and curb the effects of false signals such as speculation. Since I bought the farm in October which was right in the middle of this reporting period, it wouldn’t be fair to use the full 9.7% appreciation for Saskatchewan farms. So let’s use 3% instead to stay on the conservative side. Meanwhile inflation (CPI) was about 0.3% during the same Oct to Dec period. Average = 3.3% ÷ 2 = 1.65%

So the farm I purchased last year for $150,000 should be worth at least 1.65%, or roughly $2,500 more at the beginning of this year. Woot! So yes, my farm HAS turned out to be a good investment so far. Anyone who followed me into the exciting world of farmland investing last year probably have also done pretty well, especially if they bought in Quebec haha.

13_04_fccvaluereport$2,500 return in 3 months is not too shabby :D This is why I love investing! After making the initial investment I literally did nothing with my new farm except sit back and watch it appreciate. This was the easiest $2,500 I’ve ever made, at least on paper anyway ;) The stock market had a bad start this week, especially resource companies :( but that’s why it’s important to diversify :D When one investment fails to perform it’s good to have others to fall back on.

And thank goodness for leverage. By using other people’s money, I was able to purchase the farm with just $20,000 of my own money. A subtle 1.65% increase in the value of the land is like a ($2,500/$20,000) 12.5% return on my initial investment! I’m so thankful for people who keep large deposits and emergency funds in their bank accounts instead of investing that money for themselves. These generous people with their rainy day funds deserve more recognition for saving hard every day to keep our financial institutions well capitalized and filled with liquidity so that banks can continue to lend money to investors like myself :D TD would have never lent me $130,000 to buy the farm if we didn’t have such a supporting and robust financial system in this country ;)

Mar 272013
 

Good things come to those who wait. Unfortunately that’s not always the case for investors. I missed out on a good piece of farmland recently because I didn’t act quickly enough :( Saw this posting last week. It’s on the realtor.ca website so anyone could browse all the various agricultural listings on there. This particular land is uber cool though. It’s much better than the one I bought last year. Twice as large, 320 acres instead of 160, and more importantly 95% of its acres is cultivated so almost the entire parcel can be farmed :D The seller is willing to rent back the farm at $45/acre. Which translates into $13,680 of passive income a year :D Or a 4% return on equity pre-tax, not bad. By comparison my current tenant is only paying me $37.50/acre. That’s barley enough income to cover my interest payments, haha.

13_03_halfsection, adjusted cost base

Often these kinds of farms get snatched up by buyers with deep pockets very quickly. This one was no different. The listing went public on Friday. I was really digging this land :D So I made some preparations and contacted the selling agent the next day. But guess what? Somebody already bought it with no conditions. No freaking conditions! That means they probably paid in cash. Yikes, that’s a lot of capital (O_o)  But then I thought maybe it’s a good thing I didn’t buy it. In terms of value it’s about the same $ per acre as the farm I bought last year so it wouldn’t have lowered my ACB anyway, which means it’s not cheaper than the land I have already by area. Keeping track of Adjusted Cost Base will give us a good idea of when to buy low and when to sell high. It’s commonly used for stocks but in accounting it can be used for anything :)

When I bought my condo in 2009 I didn’t know whether its price would go up or down. But I can use my ACB to take advantage of either outcome. So far my place is worth more than when I bought it. Will we ever see home prices fall to below 2009 levels? Maybe. But if that happens I’ll just buy another property and lower my ACB. This way, I still won’t miss out on a good buying opportunity. However, in the event that real estate prices never fall back to 2009 levels again then it’s a good thing I bought when I did. Awesome sauce! It’s a win win situation :D

Many people will say it’s dangerous to buy high. That’s true. But how should we define “high” exactly? Vancouver real estate prices were considered “high” if we asked someone back in 2006 because homes literally appreciated by double digits every year for the previous 5 consecutive years!  Understandable why some people called the market a bubble. But when we look back today in 2013, then 2006 prices doesn’t seem so expensive anymore. That’s because prices are relative :) The housing market has certainly cooled recently, but we are still far above 2006 prices.  Timing any kind of market can be fun and exciting, but not always easy to do successfully. By thinking about ACB we take the timing factor out of the equation. So here’s what we can do. Start to accumulate a position first. Then buy more if the asset class becomes cheaper. But if prices only climb then just sit back and enjoy the ride :D  This strategy can be applied to farmland, gold, other commodities, and pretty much any hard asset (^_^) It doesn’t matter if something is overpriced today. What matters is will it be overpriced in the future. And since nobody can know for sure the only thing to do is to begin accumulating a position now and create our own relative cost point.

13_03_vancouverhomes, adjusted cost base

As prudent investors we must remember that although there is always risk when investing, there is also risk when waiting on the sidelines for the markets to drop, such as the risk of losing money to inflation year after year and the risk of prices never coming back down and missing out on a great investment opportunity. But a sure way to decrease our financial risk is to educate ourselves and invest with purpose and confidence!

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Random Useless Fact: This is what researchers spend their time coming up with at M.I.T

13_03_visiontest